Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) said Wednesday night that President Donald Trump is “desperate” and “losing.” He called him “the most corrupt president in history” and told supporters “we win on Tuesday,” six days before the Nov. 3 midterm elections. The post arrived as prediction markets priced Democrats as heavy favorites to win the House and slight favorites to win the Senate.
Walz posted the message on X at 7:37 p.m. on Oct. 28, 2026. It reads in full:
“Trump is desperate. He’s losing. And he’s behaving exactly how you’d expect the most corrupt president in history to behave. Stay focused. We win on Tuesday.”
Breaking Down the Post
The post makes five distinct points. It says Trump is “desperate.” It says he is “losing.” It says his behavior fits that of “the most corrupt president in history.” It tells supporters to “stay focused.” And it predicts victory on Tuesday. Walz does not specify in the post which contest or chamber he means. Nov. 3 is Election Day, when all 435 House seats and a slate of Senate seats are on the ballot.
On “Desperate” and “Losing”
Walz’s “desperate” framing has a precedent in the sharper language he has used about Trump over two years, though the research did not turn up an earlier Walz post using the specific word. During the 2024 campaign, Walz said Trump was “spiraling down” after the then-candidate’s remarks on the campaign trail, and called a threat to use the military against “enemies from within” on Election Day “dangerous.”
In 2025 his language grew more combative. He described Trump as an “existential threat” and a “wannabe dictator” and urged fellow Democrats to “be a little meaner.” In an August 2025 speech he referred to the president as “the felon in the White House.” After Trump shared a conspiracy theory about the killing of Minnesota Rep. Melissa Hortman and her husband, Walz called the post “dangerous, depraved behavior from the sitting president.” He later called it “freaking evil.”
On “Corrupt”
The word “corrupt” has gone in both directions between the two men. Trump has repeatedly called Walz “corrupt” or “crooked” amid the Minnesota fraud scandal. On Jan. 5, when Walz announced he would not seek a third term, Trump wrote that the governor was “caught, REDHANDED.” Walz has rejected the charge. He has said Minnesota spent years cracking down on fraud and accused Trump of politicizing the issue to cut funding, and he has argued that the president has been letting fraudsters out of jail. As of the January reporting, Walz had not been charged with any crime.
Walz’s “most corrupt president in history” formulation applies the label to Trump directly. His public criticism of the administration’s conduct has been a steady theme since the 2024 campaign, and he has said he intends to use his remaining time in office to push back on the administration.
The “We Win on Tuesday” Prediction
Walz’s confidence marks a shift from earlier remarks. In 2025, he said he expected Democrats to take back the House but was “very pessimistic about the Senate.” His new post makes no such distinction, saying only “we win on Tuesday.”
What the Markets Show
Prediction markets support the view that Democrats are favored, though they remain probabilities rather than results. On Polymarket, as of Oct. 27, Democrats were priced at 92 percent to win the House and 67 percent to win the Senate, up three points over the week. The market for a full Democratic sweep stood near 65 to 66 percent. Polymarket highlighted the rise on Oct. 24, 10 days before the election.
The same markets showed a Republican sweep of both chambers at roughly 8 to 10 percent, and a scenario in which Democrats win the House but Republicans keep the Senate at about 27 to 29 percent.
The Backdrop
Reuters reported this week that the U.S. war with Iran has cost more than $47 billion and that its effect on global energy costs has weighed on support for Republican candidates and hurt Trump’s approval ratings. Walz’s claim that Trump is “losing” comes against that political environment, though the Minnesota governor’s post does not cite any specific data.
Walz is not on the ballot this year. He ended his bid for a third term in January, and his term runs through early January 2027. The post therefore functions as a message of support for Democratic candidates in Minnesota and across the country rather than as a statement about his own race.